Bruce Church of Lutheran Notes has sent me an interesting news link.
Australian Pentecostals Losing Ground
Churches struggle as old guard promoted to glory
Linda Morris Religious Affairs Reporter
October 1, 2007
THE number of Australians identifying themselves as Christian will plummet over the next 20 years as an ageing generation of dedicated churchgoers dies out, analysis of census figures shows.
Painting a bleak future for Christian faiths, the Christian Research Association predicts the ranks of non-believers will steadily grow while there will not be enough young converts to replace elderly congregations.
The research also questions one of the few success stories of Christianity, the Pentecostal churches, challenging assertions that they are hotbeds of Christian recruitment.
The association's senior researcher, Philip Hughes, said the bulk of growth in Pentecostal churches came from the natural growth of families as churchgoers married and raised their children in the faith. The number of converts was being offset by those who drifted out of the church.
Dr Hughes said rates of Christian identification were likely to fall to less than 60 per cent by 2025, reflecting declining interest in religion and spirituality in general. But present trends did not imply that the decline would continue until churches ceased to exist. The rate of Christian adherence was likely to settle at 50 per cent within 30 to 40 years, depending on immigration patterns.
"Denominational leaders should be concerned about the census figures," Dr Hughes said.
"Even those denominations showing the greatest growth are not doing very well. Given all the effort that is put into evangelism among the Pentecostals, a net growth by conversion, apart from births, of 13,800 people in 10 years across Australia by all the Pentecostal churches combined is not great growth."
Dr Hughes said there was no evidence that the decline in church attendance detected in the 2006 census might be arrested as baby boomers with more time on their hands considered returning to the church in their retirement.
The Salvation Army and the Uniting Church, with ageing congregations, were among the Christian groups to have suffered the greatest decline. The Uniting Church also appeared to be suffering from divisions over gay ministers. Buddhism, Hinduism and Islam boasted the fastest growth.
The greatest growth of any Christian denomination was for the evangelical Christian Brethren Assemblies, which has no formal links with the Exclusive Brethren.Advertisement